About
What this briefing is
Oil markets – drivers & flows is an independent, framework-driven oil market briefing for professionals who need to understand why prices move (Brent & WTI) — not just what happened.
The focus is not on reacting to news, but on understanding why price moves persist — or fail.
What you’ll get
- Read time: ~5–7 minutes per issue.
- Twice-monthly issues focused on what actually moves the curve — versus what makes noise.
- A hierarchy of drivers: dominant vs secondary signals.
- How positioning and flows interact with physical constraints.
The framework
The framework is designed to identify the binding constraint of the oil market at any given time.
- Fundamentals: supply, demand, balances, inventories
- Flows: physical trade, refinery runs, product cracks, freight/logistics
- Macro & Financial: USD, rates, inflation, positioning, risk sentiment
- Geopolitics & Policy: disruptions, sanctions, OPEC+ strategy, regulation
Who this is for
Buy-side and sell-side professionals, physical traders, risk managers, refiners, shipping/logistics teams, energy corporates — and anyone who needs a disciplined view of oil price formation.
It is not designed for short-term trading or headline-driven views.
What this is not
This publication is not investment advice. It is independent analysis designed to support professional decision-making.
No price targets. No trade recommendations.
About the author
Previously: BNP Paribas CIB, LafargeHolcim, Imperial Brands.
In my roles, I audited and challenged how organizations govern commodity exposure, hedging, and energy-cost risk.
My work has focused on hedging, exposure management, pricing risk and decision-making under uncertainty across energy-intensive businesses.
I apply that same risk-manager, evidence-based lens to Brent/WTI in Oil markets – drivers & flows: separating structural drivers from noise to support professional decision-making.